Wednesday, July 29, 2009

Hole In One

Ahh, Jupiter, my old friend and garbage disposal of our solar system.

See my post on Red Dawn regarding impact opportunities.

http://cseligman.com/text/asteroids/sizedistribution.htm

With an increasing number of comets entering from outside of our solar system things are becoming risky(-ier) for life on Earth. There have been many posits for where this stuff is coming from, such as:

Our solar system is moving through a more densely-populated and original-universe portion of our galaxy, which supposedly occurs every 16 million years.

Luck Favors the Prepared

And in the spirit of preparedness I created the attached spreadsheet using the Stanford/Hellman three-condition model to calculate the probability of a global nuclear war in the next 40 years.

Event and Conflict Probabilities

http://news.stanford.edu/news/2009/july22/hellman-nuclear-analysis-071709.html

Wednesday, July 15, 2009